Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.001645 0.001753 0.001865 0.001989 0.002124 0.002265 0.002425
2025-01-12 0.001455 0.001603 0.001763 0.001948 0.002158 0.002388 0.002662
2025-01-19 0.001334 0.001508 0.001700 0.001931 0.002202 0.002510 0.002889
2025-01-26 0.001207 0.001391 0.001600 0.001856 0.002165 0.002527 0.002987
2025-02-02 0.001170 0.001373 0.001609 0.001906 0.002272 0.002714 0.003293
2025-02-09 0.001132 0.001349 0.001607 0.001938 0.002357 0.002875 0.003572
2025-02-16 0.001122 0.001358 0.001644 0.002018 0.002503 0.003117 0.003966
2025-02-23 0.001077 0.001321 0.001619 0.002018 0.002544 0.003224 0.004187
2025-03-02 0.001011 0.001252 0.001552 0.001959 0.002504 0.003220 0.004255
2025-03-09 0.000960 0.001200 0.001504 0.001920 0.002487 0.003245 0.004361
2025-03-16 0.000927 0.001171 0.001482 0.001916 0.002515 0.003331 0.004557
2025-03-23 0.000887 0.001130 0.001444 0.001887 0.002507 0.003365 0.004677
2025-03-30 0.000849 0.001093 0.001413 0.001871 0.002524 0.003444 0.004884
2025-04-06 0.000806 0.001048 0.001370 0.001836 0.002512 0.003482 0.005034
2025-04-13 0.000773 0.001016 0.001341 0.001821 0.002527 0.003561 0.005249
2025-04-20 0.000725 0.000959 0.001277 0.001751 0.002458 0.003508 0.005253
2025-04-27 0.000718 0.000960 0.001293 0.001797 0.002563 0.003724 0.005705
2025-05-04 0.000706 0.000954 0.001298 0.001827 0.002645 0.003909 0.006116
2025-05-11 0.000708 0.000967 0.001333 0.001902 0.002799 0.004217 0.006759
2025-05-18 0.000689 0.000948 0.001318 0.001902 0.002835 0.004335 0.007081
2025-05-25 0.000655 0.000907 0.001270 0.001847 0.002779 0.004298 0.007123
2025-06-01 0.000628 0.000876 0.001234 0.001810 0.002752 0.004306 0.007247
2025-06-08 0.000612 0.000859 0.001220 0.001807 0.002778 0.004406 0.007546